2026-09-12 · 5 min read
Position sizing when you know the signal can be wrong
Assume the next gated BUY is a loser. Size so that outcome is boring, not fatal.
The ledger exists so you cannot lie to yourself
Every gated BUY is marked at 30 minutes and 4 hours. Losers stay. If you size as if the last green row will repeat, you will eventually meet a red row with a full bag.
A simple rule: risk a small, fixed fraction of the account you can actually afford to lose on memecoins — not your rent. If SELL NOW fires, exit. Averaging down a dump on a two-hour-old pool is how accounts go to zero.
Fail Closed does not manage your risk for you
The Jupiter button, when you see it, only appears on a gated Solana BUY or SELL NOW you already received. It still sends from your wallet. Slippage, size, and whether you click at all are yours.
If you need a product that cannot lose, you do not want DEX tokens. You want cash.
Related: public ledger · start the Trader trial